Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Frosinone win with a probability of 37.1%. A win for Ascoli had a probability of 35.78% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Frosinone win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.07%) and 0-2 (6.58%). The likeliest Ascoli win was 1-0 (10.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
