Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Frosinone win with a probability of 49.55%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Benevento had a probability of 24.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Frosinone win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.46%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.27%), while for a Benevento win it was 0-1 (8.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Frosinone would win this match.