Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ternana win with a probability of 57.16%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Cosenza Calcio had a probability of 18.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ternana win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.15%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.32%), while for a Cosenza Calcio win it was 0-1 (6.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ternana would win this match.
