Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Perugia win with a probability of 48.83%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for SPAL had a probability of 23.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Perugia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.17%) and 2-1 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.67%), while for a SPAL win it was 0-1 (9.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.

Result
Perugia	Draw	SPAL
48.83%	27.82%	23.34%

Both teams to score 42.48%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.94%

62.06%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.22%

81.78%

Perugia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.35%

25.65%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.45%

60.55%

SPAL Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.14%

42.86%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.82%

79.17%

Score Analysis

Perugia 48.82%

SPAL 23.34%

Draw 27.82%

Perugia	Draw	SPAL
1-0 @ 14.95% 2-0 @ 10.17% 2-1 @ 8.62% 3-0 @ 4.62% 3-1 @ 3.91% 3-2 @ 1.66% 4-0 @ 1.57% 4-1 @ 1.33% Other @ 1.99% Total : 48.82%	1-1 @ 12.67% 0-0 @ 10.99% 2-2 @ 3.65% Other @ 0.5% Total : 27.82%	0-1 @ 9.31% 1-2 @ 5.37% 0-2 @ 3.95% 1-3 @ 1.52% 0-3 @ 1.11% 2-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.05% Total : 23.34%