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Conference League | Last 16 | 2nd Leg
Mar 17, 2022 at 5.45pm UK
St. Jakob-Park
M

Basel
1 - 2
Marseille

Ndoye (63')
Chalov (26'), Burger (34'), Ndoye (76'), Tavares (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Under (74'), Rongier (90+3')
Sampaoli (38'), Peres (70'), Mandanda (86'), Balerdi (90+4'), Gerson (90+5')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Basel 2-1 Lugano
Sunday, May 22 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League

We said: Basel 0-1 Marseille

Marseille have been dominant as of late, and due to the fact they have fewer injury concerns, and that does make them the favourites on Thursday, even away from home. The hosts will certainly provide a stern test within this match, but the visitors do just have an edge in terms of quality that should help them. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 37.71%. A win for Basel had a probability of 33.72% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.81%) and 0-2 (7.14%). The likeliest Basel win was 1-0 (11.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result
BaselDrawMarseille
33.72%28.57%37.71%
Both teams to score 45.97%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.57%60.43%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.44%80.57%
Basel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.52%33.48%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.89%70.11%
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.11%30.9%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.82%67.18%
Score Analysis
    Basel 33.71%
    Marseille 37.7%
    Draw 28.56%
BaselDrawMarseille
1-0 @ 11.31%
2-1 @ 7.27%
2-0 @ 6.19%
3-1 @ 2.65%
3-0 @ 2.26%
3-2 @ 1.56%
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 33.71%
1-1 @ 13.29%
0-0 @ 10.34%
2-2 @ 4.27%
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 28.56%
0-1 @ 12.14%
1-2 @ 7.81%
0-2 @ 7.14%
1-3 @ 3.06%
0-3 @ 2.79%
2-3 @ 1.67%
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 37.7%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Basel 2-0 Servette
Sunday, March 13 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: Marseille 2-1 Basel
Thursday, March 10 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Lugano 0-2 Basel
Sunday, March 6 at 1.15pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: Basel 2-2 St Gallen
Thursday, March 3 at 7.30pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: FC Zurich 4-2 Basel
Sunday, February 27 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: Basel 3-0 Lausanne
Saturday, February 19 at 7.30pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: Brest 1-4 Marseille
Sunday, March 13 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 2-1 Basel
Thursday, March 10 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Marseille 0-1 Monaco
Sunday, March 6 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Troyes 1-1 Marseille
Sunday, February 27 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Qarabag FK 0-3 Marseille
Thursday, February 24 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Marseille 0-2 Clermont
Sunday, February 20 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1


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