Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Desna Chernihiv win with a probability of 37.03%. A win for Metalist Kharkiv had a probability of 35.97% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Desna Chernihiv win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.09%) and 0-2 (6.52%). The likeliest Metalist Kharkiv win was 1-0 (10.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%).
