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Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 13
May 21, 2022 at 11.30pm UK
Estadio Campeón del Siglo
BR

Penarol
1 - 0
Boston River

Viatri (13')
Menosse (44'), Elizalde (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Rodriguez (44'), Villa (90+3')
Barja (85')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Penarol and Boston River.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Penarol 0-1 Cerro Largo
Saturday, June 4 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Wanderers 1-2 Boston River
Monday, June 6 at 10.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 53.66%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Boston River had a probability of 19.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.74%) and 2-1 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.06%), while for a Boston River win it was 0-1 (8.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Penarol in this match.

Result
PenarolDrawBoston River
53.66% (-0.14400000000001 -0.14) 27.13% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06) 19.21% (0.209 0.21)
Both teams to score 39.49% (0.409 0.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.67% (0.376 0.38)63.32% (-0.37 -0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.3% (0.27 0.27)82.7% (-0.265 -0.27)
Penarol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.02% (0.104 0.1)23.98% (-0.099 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.77% (0.144 0.14)58.23% (-0.138 -0.14)
Boston River Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.95% (0.47 0.47)48.05% (-0.465 -0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.73% (0.343 0.34)83.27% (-0.339 -0.34)
Score Analysis
    Penarol 53.65%
    Boston River 19.21%
    Draw 27.13%
PenarolDrawBoston River
1-0 @ 16.45% (-0.18 -0.18)
2-0 @ 11.74% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-1 @ 8.61% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
3-0 @ 5.59% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.1% (0.034 0.03)
4-0 @ 2% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 1.5% (0.032 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.46% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 53.65%
1-1 @ 12.06% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 11.52% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-2 @ 3.16% (0.058 0.06)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 27.13%
0-1 @ 8.45% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.42% (0.069 0.07)
0-2 @ 3.1% (0.04 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.08% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 19.21%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Penarol 0-0 Cerro Porteno
Tuesday, May 17 at 11.15pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Plaza Colonia 0-1 Penarol
Saturday, May 14 at 12.30am in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Penarol 1-0 Wanderers
Sunday, May 8 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Olimpia 1-0 Penarol
Thursday, May 5 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Cerro Porteno 1-0 Penarol
Thursday, April 28 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Torque 0-1 Penarol
Saturday, April 23 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Boston River 2-3 Liverpool
Monday, May 16 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Rentistas 0-1 Boston River
Sunday, May 8 at 5pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Boston River 2-0 Maldonado
Sunday, April 24 at 10.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Danubio 0-0 Boston River
Friday, April 15 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Boston River 0-6 Nacional
Sunday, April 10 at 10.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Albion 1-2 Boston River
Saturday, April 2 at 5.15pm in Uruguayan Primera Division


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