SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Cerro Largo | 25 | -19 | 22 |
| 15 | Rentistas | 25 | -21 | 17 |
| 16 | Cerrito | 25 | -33 | 12 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | Plaza Colonia | 25 | -4 | 25 |
| 14 | Cerro Largo | 25 | -19 | 22 |
| 15 | Rentistas | 25 | -21 | 17 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Largo win with a probability of 49.96%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Cerrito had a probability of 21.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Largo win was 0-1 with a probability of 16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.74%) and 1-2 (8.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.55%), while for a Cerrito win it was 1-0 (9.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cerrito | Draw | Cerro Largo |
21.86% ( -0.01) | 28.19% ( -0.01) | 49.96% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 40.16% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.77% ( 0.01) | 64.23% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.65% ( 0.01) | 83.35% ( -0.01) |
| Cerrito Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.36% ( -0) | 45.64% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.56% ( -0) | 81.44% ( 0) |
| Cerro Largo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.89% ( 0.01) | 26.11% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.83% ( 0.02) | 61.17% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cerrito | Draw | Cerro Largo |
| 1-0 @ 9.35% ( -0) 2-1 @ 4.92% ( -0)2-0 @ 3.67% ( -0)3-1 @ 1.29% 3-0 @ 0.96% ( -0)Other @ 1.68% Total : 21.86% | 1-1 @ 12.55% 0-0 @ 11.91% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 3.31% Other @ 0.41% Total : 28.18% | 0-1 @ 16% 0-2 @ 10.74% 1-2 @ 8.43% ( 0)0-3 @ 4.81% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.77% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.62% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.48% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.27% ( 0)Other @ 1.84% Total : 49.95% |
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