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Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 2
Aug 26, 2023 at 10pm UK
Estadio Municipal Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla

Cerro Largo
2 - 2
Nacional

Gianoli (18'), Silveira (90')
Viera (14'), Brasil (29'), Santilli (76'), Ferrares (90+6'), Galletto (90+7')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Ramirez (27'), Zabala (86')
Galeano (38'), Fagundez (79')
Fagundez (90+5')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Cerro Largo and Nacional.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: River Plate 0-0 Cerro Largo
Saturday, August 19 at 2pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Liverpool 0-0 Nacional
Sunday, August 20 at 7.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 43.85%. A win for Cerro Largo had a probability of 28.23% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.59%) and 1-2 (8.51%). The likeliest Cerro Largo win was 1-0 (9.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.

Result
Cerro LargoDrawNacional
28.23% (-0.361 -0.36) 27.92% (0.0040000000000013 0) 43.85% (0.354 0.35)
Both teams to score 45.87% (-0.213 -0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.37% (-0.17 -0.17)59.63% (0.168 0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.04% (-0.131 -0.13)79.96% (0.129 0.13)
Cerro Largo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.87% (-0.384 -0.38)37.13% (0.381 0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.08% (-0.381 -0.38)73.91% (0.379 0.38)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.97% (0.10599999999999 0.11)27.03% (-0.106 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.61% (0.14 0.14)62.39% (-0.143 -0.14)
Score Analysis
    Cerro Largo 28.23%
    Nacional 43.84%
    Draw 27.9%
Cerro LargoDrawNacional
1-0 @ 9.94% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-1 @ 6.44% (-0.074 -0.07)
2-0 @ 4.93% (-0.071 -0.07)
3-1 @ 2.13% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-0 @ 1.63% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.39% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 28.23%
1-1 @ 13% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 10.03% (0.058 0.06)
2-2 @ 4.22% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 27.9%
0-1 @ 13.12% (0.12 0.12)
0-2 @ 8.59% (0.106 0.11)
1-2 @ 8.51% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
0-3 @ 3.75% (0.057 0.06)
1-3 @ 3.71% (0.018 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.84% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.23% (0.023 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.21% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 43.84%

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Form Guide
Last Game: River Plate 0-0 Cerro Largo
Saturday, August 19 at 2pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Nacional 1-0 Cerro Largo
Saturday, July 22 at 11.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Cerro Largo 2-0 Racing
Saturday, July 15 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Cerro Largo 2-1 Fenix
Saturday, July 8 at 9.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Cerro Largo 0-1 Cerro
Sunday, July 2 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Maldonado 0-0 Cerro Largo
Sunday, June 25 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Liverpool 0-0 Nacional
Sunday, August 20 at 7.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Boca Juniors 2-2 Nacional (4-2 pen.)
Thursday, August 10 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Nacional 0-0 Boca Juniors
Thursday, August 3 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Nacional 1-0 Cerro Largo
Saturday, July 22 at 11.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Nacional 0-1 Fenix
Saturday, July 15 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Racing 2-2 Nacional
Sunday, July 9 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division


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