Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Largo win with a probability of 44.37%. A win for Fenix had a probability of 29.36% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Largo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.97%) and 0-2 (8.03%). The likeliest Fenix win was 1-0 (8.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
