SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Largo win with a probability of 44.96%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Rentistas had a probability of 26.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Largo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9%) and 2-1 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.99%), while for a Rentistas win it was 0-1 (9.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cerro Largo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cerro Largo | Draw | Rentistas |
44.96% ( 0.14) | 28.12% ( -0.03) | 26.92% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 44.54% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.07% ( 0.06) | 60.92% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.06% ( 0.04) | 80.94% ( -0.05) |
| Cerro Largo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.94% ( 0.1) | 27.06% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.57% ( 0.13) | 62.43% ( -0.13) |
| Rentistas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.06% ( -0.06) | 38.94% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.33% ( -0.06) | 75.67% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cerro Largo | Draw | Rentistas |
| 1-0 @ 13.77% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 8.49% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.92% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.7% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.75% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.28% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.21% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.83% Total : 44.95% | 1-1 @ 12.99% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.53% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4% ( 0)Other @ 0.59% Total : 28.12% | 0-1 @ 9.94% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 6.13% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.69% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.26% ( -0)Other @ 1.51% Total : 26.92% |
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