SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 44.15%. A draw had a probability of 29.4% and a win for Cerro had a probability of 26.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win was 1-0 with a probability of 15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.17%) and 2-1 (8.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.13%), while for a Cerro win it was 0-1 (10.75%).
| Result | ||
| Defensor Sporting | Draw | Cerro |
44.15% ( 0.02) | 29.38% ( -0.01) | 26.47% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 41.13% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.95% ( 0.02) | 65.05% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.07% ( 0.01) | 83.93% ( -0.01) |
| Defensor Sporting Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.52% ( 0.02) | 29.48% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.51% ( 0.02) | 65.49% ( -0.02) |
| Cerro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.32% ( 0.01) | 41.68% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.84% ( 0) | 78.16% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Defensor Sporting | Draw | Cerro |
| 1-0 @ 15% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.17% ( 0)2-1 @ 8.02% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.73% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.27% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.43% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.14% ( 0)4-1 @ 1% ( 0)Other @ 1.39% Total : 44.15% | 1-1 @ 13.13% 0-0 @ 12.28% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 3.51% ( 0)Other @ 0.45% Total : 29.37% | 0-1 @ 10.75% 1-2 @ 5.75% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.71% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.68% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.37% 2-3 @ 1.02% ( 0)Other @ 1.19% Total : 26.47% |
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