MX23RW : Wednesday, May 25 06:11:47
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May 14, 2022 at 10pm UK at Estadio Luis Franzini
Defensor
0 - 2
Nacional

Mallo (68'), Balboa (85'), Sant'Anna (85')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Gigliotti (5'), Candido (77')
Monzeglio (23'), Trezza (40'), Coelho (53'), Gigliotti (87')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Defensor Sporting and Nacional.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 46.97%. A win for Defensor Sporting had a probability of 27.27% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.22%) and 0-2 (8.51%). The likeliest Defensor Sporting win was 1-0 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.

Result
Defensor SportingDrawNacional
27.27%25.75%46.97%
Both teams to score 51.48%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.89%52.11%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.17%73.83%
Defensor Sporting Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.15%33.85%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.49%70.52%
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.83%22.17%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.43%55.58%
Score Analysis
    Defensor Sporting 27.27%
    Nacional 46.97%
    Draw 25.75%
Defensor SportingDrawNacional
1-0 @ 8.13%
2-1 @ 6.63%
2-0 @ 4.4%
3-1 @ 2.4%
3-2 @ 1.8%
3-0 @ 1.59%
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 27.27%
1-1 @ 12.24%
0-0 @ 7.51%
2-2 @ 5%
3-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.75%
0-1 @ 11.3%
1-2 @ 9.22%
0-2 @ 8.51%
1-3 @ 4.63%
0-3 @ 4.28%
2-3 @ 2.51%
1-4 @ 1.74%
0-4 @ 1.61%
2-4 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 46.97%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Albion 0-3 Defensor
Saturday, May 7 at 5pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Defensor 0-0 Cerrito
Tuesday, April 26 at 12am in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Defensor 2-1 Fenix
Saturday, April 16 at 12.15am in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Cerro Largo 0-0 Defensor
Friday, April 8 at 11.15pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Defensor 3-2 River Plate
Sunday, April 3 at 1am in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Boston River 1-1 Defensor
Monday, March 21 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Nacional 1-0 Fenix
Monday, May 9 at 11.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Estudiantes 1-0 Nacional
Wednesday, May 4 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 1-2 Nacional
Tuesday, April 26 at 11.15pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Cerro Largo 0-2 Nacional
Saturday, April 23 at 12am in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Nacional 1-1 River Plate
Sunday, April 17 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Nacional 0-0 Estudiantes
Thursday, April 14 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
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Uruguayan Primera Division Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1LiverpoolLiverpool138231871126
2NacionalNacional137422481625
3Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado138141913625
4PenarolPenarol13742105525
5Montevideo WanderersWanderers13562158721
6Boston RiverBoston River136341514121
7FenixFenix136251314-120
8River PlateRiver Plate135442015519
9Defensor SportingDefensor135441314-119
10DanubioDanubio1346397218
11Rentistas134181419-516
12Montevideo City TorqueTorque132651517-212
13Albion132471529-1410
14Plaza ColoniaPlaza Colonia131661014-49
15Cerro Largo13238521-169
16Cerrito13247818-107
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