SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Fenix | 24 | 0 | 38 |
| 6 | Deportivo Maldonado | 24 | 3 | 37 |
| 7 | River Plate | 24 | 9 | 36 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Cerro Largo | 24 | -17 | 22 |
| 15 | Rentistas | 24 | -20 | 17 |
| 16 | Cerrito | 24 | -32 | 12 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportivo Maldonado win with a probability of 48.55%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Cerrito had a probability of 23.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Deportivo Maldonado win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.11%) and 2-1 (8.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.7%), while for a Cerrito win it was 0-1 (9.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Deportivo Maldonado would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Deportivo Maldonado | Draw | Cerrito |
48.55% ( 0.02) | 27.91% ( 0) | 23.54% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 42.44% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.78% ( -0.05) | 62.22% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.1% ( -0.03) | 81.89% ( 0.03) |
| Deportivo Maldonado Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.14% ( -0.01) | 25.86% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.16% ( -0.01) | 60.84% ( 0.01) |
| Cerrito Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.24% ( -0.06) | 42.76% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.91% ( -0.05) | 79.09% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Deportivo Maldonado | Draw | Cerrito |
| 1-0 @ 14.95% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 10.11% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 8.59% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.56% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.87% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.65% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.54% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.31% ( -0)Other @ 1.96% Total : 48.54% | 1-1 @ 12.7% 0-0 @ 11.05% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 3.65% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.5% Total : 27.9% | 0-1 @ 9.39% 1-2 @ 5.4% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.99% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.53% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.13% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.03% ( -0)Other @ 1.07% Total : 23.54% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
