SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Fenix win with a probability of 37.53%. A win for Progreso has a probability of 34.07% and a draw has a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenix win is 0-1 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (7.83%) and 0-2 (7.05%). The likeliest Progreso win is 1-0 (11.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.25%).
| Result | ||
| Progreso | Draw | Fenix |
34.07% ( -0.07) | 28.4% ( -0.34) | 37.53% ( 0.42) |
| Both teams to score 46.51% ( 0.97) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.21% ( 1.2) | 59.79% ( -1.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.92% ( 0.91) | 80.08% ( -0.9) |
| Progreso Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.09% ( 0.58) | 32.91% ( -0.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.52% ( 0.63) | 69.48% ( -0.63) |
| Fenix Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.32% ( 0.86) | 30.68% ( -0.86) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.06% ( 1.01) | 66.94% ( -1.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Progreso | Draw | Fenix |
| 1-0 @ 11.22% ( -0.33) 2-1 @ 7.37% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 6.24% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 2.73% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 2.31% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.61% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.59% Total : 34.07% | 1-1 @ 13.25% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 10.09% ( -0.47)2-2 @ 4.35% ( 0.15)Other @ 0.69% Total : 28.38% | 0-1 @ 11.92% ( -0.26) 1-2 @ 7.83% ( 0.14)0-2 @ 7.05% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.09% ( 0.13)0-3 @ 2.78% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.1)1-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.24% Total : 37.52% |
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