SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plaza Colonia win with a probability of 47.02%. A win for Cerrito had a probability of 26.53% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plaza Colonia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (8.91%). The likeliest Cerrito win was 0-1 (8.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Plaza Colonia | Draw | Cerrito |
47.02% ( -0.13) | 26.45% ( -0.01) | 26.53% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 48.87% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.76% ( 0.12) | 55.23% ( -0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.54% ( 0.1) | 76.46% ( -0.1) |
| Plaza Colonia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.52% ( -0.01) | 23.48% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.49% ( -0.02) | 57.51% ( 0.01) |
| Cerrito Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.87% ( 0.18) | 36.13% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.08% ( 0.18) | 72.91% ( -0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Plaza Colonia | Draw | Cerrito |
| 1-0 @ 12.29% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.07% ( -0)2-0 @ 8.91% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 4.38% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.3% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.23% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.59% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.56% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.7% Total : 47.02% | 1-1 @ 12.51% 0-0 @ 8.49% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 4.62% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.83% Total : 26.44% | 0-1 @ 8.64% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.37% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 4.4% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.91% Total : 26.53% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
