SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing de Montevideo win with a probability of 41.93%. A win for River Plate had a probability of 29.32% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing de Montevideo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.31%) and 2-1 (8.14%). The likeliest River Plate win was 0-1 (10.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Racing de Montevideo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Racing de Montevideo | Draw | River Plate |
| 41.93% | 28.75% | 29.32% |
| Both teams to score 44.21% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38% | 61.99% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.27% | 81.73% |
| Racing de Montevideo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.8% | 29.19% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.85% | 65.14% |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.44% | 37.55% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.66% | 74.33% |
| Score Analysis |
| Racing de Montevideo | Draw | River Plate |
| 1-0 @ 13.49% 2-0 @ 8.31% 2-1 @ 8.14% 3-0 @ 3.41% 3-1 @ 3.34% 3-2 @ 1.64% 4-0 @ 1.05% 4-1 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.52% Total : 41.92% | 1-1 @ 13.22% 0-0 @ 10.96% 2-2 @ 3.99% Other @ 0.58% Total : 28.74% | 0-1 @ 10.73% 1-2 @ 6.47% 0-2 @ 5.26% 1-3 @ 2.11% 0-3 @ 1.72% 2-3 @ 1.3% Other @ 1.72% Total : 29.31% |
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