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Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 8
Mar 26, 2023 at 10pm UK
Estadio Gran Parque Central

Nacional
3 - 0
River Plate

Montiel (38'), Zabala (53'), Candido (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Brunelli (9'), Pereira (25'), Viera (43')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and River Plate.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Maldonado 0-0 Nacional
Saturday, March 18 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Penarol 1-0 River Plate
Saturday, March 18 at 10.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 53.14%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for River Plate had a probability of 20.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.86%) and 2-1 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.07%), while for a River Plate win it was 0-1 (7.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.

Result
NacionalDrawRiver Plate
53.14% (0.40600000000001 0.41) 25.98% (-0.15 -0.15) 20.89% (-0.251 -0.25)
Both teams to score 44.45% (0.075000000000003 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.97% (0.274 0.27)58.04% (-0.27 -0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.29% (0.216 0.22)78.72% (-0.212 -0.21)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.05% (0.288 0.29)21.95% (-0.283 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.77% (0.434 0.43)55.23% (-0.43 -0.43)
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.96% (-0.111 -0.11)43.04% (0.116 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.67% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)79.33% (0.099999999999994 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Nacional 53.13%
    River Plate 20.89%
    Draw 25.97%
NacionalDrawRiver Plate
1-0 @ 14.32% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 10.86% (0.08 0.08)
2-1 @ 9.16% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
3-0 @ 5.49% (0.084 0.08)
3-1 @ 4.63% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
4-0 @ 2.08% (0.05 0.05)
3-2 @ 1.95% (0.018 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.76% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 53.13%
1-1 @ 12.07% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 9.45% (-0.098000000000001 -0.1)
2-2 @ 3.86% (0.0029999999999997 0)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 25.97%
0-1 @ 7.96% (-0.107 -0.11)
1-2 @ 5.09% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-2 @ 3.36% (-0.056 -0.06)
1-3 @ 1.43% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.08% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 0.94% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 1.02%
Total : 20.89%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Maldonado 0-0 Nacional
Saturday, March 18 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Nacional 3-1 Boston River
Saturday, March 11 at 10.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Cerro 2-2 Nacional
Saturday, March 4 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Nacional 3-1 Racing
Sunday, February 26 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Plaza Colonia 2-1 Nacional
Saturday, February 18 at 10.45pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Nacional 0-0 Cerro Largo
Friday, February 10 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Penarol 1-0 River Plate
Saturday, March 18 at 10.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: River Plate 3-1 Maldonado
Monday, March 13 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: River Plate 0-4 Penarol
Wednesday, March 8 at 12am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Boston River 0-0 River Plate
Saturday, March 4 at 10.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: River Plate 3-2 Cerro
Saturday, February 25 at 12.45pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Racing 0-0 River Plate
Sunday, February 19 at 12.45pm in Uruguayan Primera Division


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