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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 22
Feb 26, 2022 at 12.45pm UK
Jenner Park

Barry
1 - 2
Caernarfon

Cotterill (36')
Green (69')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Hayes (4', 58')
Gosset (12')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Barry Town United and Caernarfon Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barry Town United win with a probability of 45.82%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 29.6% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barry Town United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 0-1 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.

Result
Barry Town UnitedDrawCaernarfon Town
45.82%24.58%29.6%
Both teams to score 56.84%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.17%45.83%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.86%68.14%
Barry Town United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.9%20.1%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.66%52.34%
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.13%28.86%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.27%64.73%
Score Analysis
    Barry Town United 45.82%
    Caernarfon Town 29.6%
    Draw 24.58%
Barry Town UnitedDrawCaernarfon Town
1-0 @ 9.31%
2-1 @ 9.28%
2-0 @ 7.47%
3-1 @ 4.96%
3-0 @ 4%
3-2 @ 3.08%
4-1 @ 1.99%
4-0 @ 1.6%
4-2 @ 1.24%
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 45.82%
1-1 @ 11.56%
0-0 @ 5.8%
2-2 @ 5.77%
3-3 @ 1.28%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.58%
0-1 @ 7.21%
1-2 @ 7.19%
0-2 @ 4.48%
1-3 @ 2.98%
2-3 @ 2.39%
0-3 @ 1.86%
1-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 29.6%

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