Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haverfordwest County win with a probability of 53%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 22.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haverfordwest County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.49%), while for an Aberystwyth Town win it was 0-1 (6.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
