SM
| Current Third Round Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Uzbekistan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Iran | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Qatar | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | North Korea | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Kyrgyzstan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | United Arab Emirates | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current Third Round Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Uzbekistan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Iran | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Qatar | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | North Korea | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Kyrgyzstan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | United Arab Emirates | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iran win with a probability of 63.68%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for United Arab Emirates had a probability of 15.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Iran win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.03%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.11%), while for a United Arab Emirates win it was 0-1 (5.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Iran | Draw | United Arab Emirates |
63.68% ( 0.88) | 21.29% ( -0.39) | 15.03% ( -0.5) |
| Both teams to score 47.39% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.5% ( 0.67) | 48.5% ( -0.67) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.37% ( 0.61) | 70.63% ( -0.61) |
| Iran Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.43% ( 0.5) | 14.57% ( -0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 57.37% ( 0.96) | 42.63% ( -0.96) |
| United Arab Emirates Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.47% ( -0.28) | 44.53% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 19.44% ( -0.22) | 80.56% ( 0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Iran | Draw | United Arab Emirates |
| 1-0 @ 12.49% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 12.03% ( 0.09)2-1 @ 9.74% ( 0)3-0 @ 7.73% ( 0.2)3-1 @ 6.25% ( 0.11)4-0 @ 3.72% ( 0.16)4-1 @ 3.01% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 2.53% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 1.43% ( 0.09)4-2 @ 1.22% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 1.16% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.35% Total : 63.67% | 1-1 @ 10.11% ( -0.17) 0-0 @ 6.49% ( -0.18)2-2 @ 3.94% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.75% Total : 21.29% | 0-1 @ 5.25% ( -0.19) 1-2 @ 4.09% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 2.12% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.41% Total : 15.03% |
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