SM
| Current Third Round Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Uzbekistan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Iran | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Qatar | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | North Korea | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Kyrgyzstan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | United Arab Emirates | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current Third Round Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Uzbekistan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Iran | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Qatar | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | North Korea | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Kyrgyzstan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | United Arab Emirates | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iran win with a probability of 82.39%. A draw had a probability of 12.3% and a win for North Korea had a probability of 5.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Iran win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (12.76%) and 0-1 (10.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.82%), while for a North Korea win it was 1-0 (2.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| North Korea | Draw | Iran |
5.3% ( 3.33) | 12.31% ( 5.42) | 82.39% ( -8.76) |
| Both teams to score 39.03% ( 9.55) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.39% ( -7.91) | 37.61% ( 7.91) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.15% ( -9.02) | 59.85% ( 9.02) |
| North Korea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 41.92% ( 11.27) | 58.07% ( -11.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 10.36% ( 5.1) | 89.63% ( -5.1) |
| Iran Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.1% ( -3.08) | 6.89% ( 3.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 74.67% ( -9.06) | 25.33% ( 9.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| North Korea | Draw | Iran |
| 1-0 @ 2.18% ( 1.21) 2-1 @ 1.58% ( 1)Other @ 1.54% Total : 5.3% | 1-1 @ 5.82% ( 2.66) 0-0 @ 4% ( 1.36)2-2 @ 2.11% ( 1.17)Other @ 0.38% Total : 12.31% | 0-2 @ 14.31% ( 0.2) 0-3 @ 12.76% ( -2.6)0-1 @ 10.7% ( 2.06)0-4 @ 8.54% ( -4)1-2 @ 7.78% ( 2.62)1-3 @ 6.94% ( 1.31)1-4 @ 4.64% ( 0.05)0-5 @ 4.57% ( -3.63)1-5 @ 2.48% ( -0.52)0-6 @ 2.04% ( -2.43)2-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.86)2-4 @ 1.26% ( 0.42)1-6 @ 1.11% ( -0.53)Other @ 3.37% Total : 82.37% |
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