SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | Sarmiento | 12 | -7 | 18 |
| 14 | Union | 13 | -1 | 17 |
| 15 | Colon | 13 | 0 | 16 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Banfield | 13 | 3 | 18 |
| 12 | Huracan | 13 | 1 | 18 |
| 13 | Sarmiento | 12 | -7 | 18 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union win with a probability of 41.35%. A win for Huracan had a probability of 30.76% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Huracan win was 0-1 (10.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Union | Draw | Huracan |
41.35% ( 1.77) | 27.89% ( -0.3) | 30.76% ( -1.47) |
| Both teams to score 47.14% ( 0.39) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.38% ( 0.71) | 58.62% ( -0.71) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.82% ( 0.55) | 79.18% ( -0.55) |
| Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.1% ( 1.34) | 27.9% ( -1.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.49% ( 1.68) | 63.51% ( -1.68) |
| Huracan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.37% ( -0.69) | 34.63% ( 0.69) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.65% ( -0.74) | 71.36% ( 0.74) |
| Score Analysis |
| Union | Draw | Huracan |
| 1-0 @ 12.33% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 8.35% ( 0.24)2-0 @ 7.87% ( 0.37)3-1 @ 3.55% ( 0.23)3-0 @ 3.35% ( 0.27)3-2 @ 1.88% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 1.13% ( 0.11)4-0 @ 1.07% ( 0.12)Other @ 1.8% Total : 41.35% | 1-1 @ 13.07% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 9.66% ( -0.26)2-2 @ 4.43% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.73% Total : 27.88% | 0-1 @ 10.24% ( -0.48) 1-2 @ 6.94% ( -0.19)0-2 @ 5.43% ( -0.36)1-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.12)0-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.17)2-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.21% Total : 30.76% |
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