SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Gimnasia | 13 | 2 | 21 |
| 7 | Aldosivi | 12 | 4 | 20 |
| 8 | Newell's Old Boys | 12 | 3 | 20 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 22 | Central Cordoba | 12 | -8 | 11 |
| 23 | Rosario Central | 12 | -6 | 10 |
| 24 | Atletico Tucuman | 12 | -9 | 10 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aldosivi win with a probability of 37.06%. A win for Rosario Central had a probability of 35.42% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aldosivi win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.99%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Rosario Central win was 0-1 (10.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aldosivi would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aldosivi | Draw | Rosario Central |
37.06% ( -0.17) | 27.51% ( -0.01) | 35.42% ( 0.19) |
| Both teams to score 49.28% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.6% ( 0.06) | 56.4% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.58% ( 0.04) | 77.41% ( -0.04) |
| Aldosivi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.71% ( -0.08) | 29.29% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.74% ( -0.09) | 65.25% ( 0.09) |
| Rosario Central Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.7% ( 0.15) | 30.3% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.52% ( 0.17) | 66.48% ( -0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aldosivi | Draw | Rosario Central |
| 1-0 @ 10.89% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 7.99% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 6.69% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 3.27% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.74% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.95% ( -0)4-1 @ 1% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.52% Total : 37.06% | 1-1 @ 13.01% 0-0 @ 8.88% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.77% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.85% Total : 27.51% | 0-1 @ 10.59% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.77% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 6.33% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 3.09% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.52% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.3% Total : 35.42% |
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