SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Fluminense | 20 | 9 | 35 |
| 4 | Athletico Paranaense | 20 | 5 | 34 |
| 5 | Flamengo | 20 | 11 | 33 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Racing Club | 14 | 15 | 30 |
| 2 | Estudiantes | 13 | 15 | 28 |
| 3 | River Plate | 13 | 18 | 26 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 56.65%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Estudiantes had a probability of 19.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.73%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.27%), while for a Estudiantes win it was 0-1 (6.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Athletico Paranaense | Draw | Estudiantes |
56.65% ( -0.09) | 23.75% ( 0.05) | 19.6% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 48.82% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.73% ( -0.15) | 51.27% ( 0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.9% ( -0.13) | 73.1% ( 0.13) |
| Athletico Paranaense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.09% ( -0.09) | 17.91% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.28% ( -0.15) | 48.72% ( 0.15) |
| Estudiantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.47% ( -0.05) | 40.53% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.87% ( -0.04) | 77.13% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Athletico Paranaense | Draw | Estudiantes |
| 1-0 @ 12.48% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 10.73% 2-1 @ 9.7% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 6.15% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 5.56% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 2.65% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.51% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.39% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.5% Total : 56.64% | 1-1 @ 11.27% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.26% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 4.38% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.83% Total : 23.74% | 0-1 @ 6.56% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 5.09% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.96% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.53% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.32% ( -0)Other @ 2.14% Total : 19.6% |
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