SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 25 | Platense | 13 | -10 | 10 |
| 26 | Patronato | 12 | -13 | 10 |
| 27 | Talleres | 13 | -13 | 8 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Lanus | 13 | -1 | 14 |
| 19 | Arsenal Sarandi | 12 | 0 | 13 |
| 20 | Independiente | 13 | -4 | 13 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Patronato win with a probability of 48.32%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Arsenal Sarandi had a probability of 24.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Patronato win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.56%) and 2-1 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.58%), while for an Arsenal Sarandi win it was 0-1 (8.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Arsenal Sarandi would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Patronato | Draw | Arsenal Sarandi |
48.32% ( 0.02) | 26.89% ( 0.02) | 24.79% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 46.2% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.03% ( -0.08) | 57.97% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.34% ( -0.06) | 78.66% ( 0.06) |
| Patronato Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.93% ( -0.03) | 24.07% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.66% ( -0.04) | 58.34% ( 0.04) |
| Arsenal Sarandi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.84% ( -0.08) | 39.15% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.13% ( -0.07) | 75.87% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Patronato | Draw | Arsenal Sarandi |
| 1-0 @ 13.42% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 9.56% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 8.96% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.54% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.26% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.62% 4-1 @ 1.52% ( -0)Other @ 2.45% Total : 48.32% | 1-1 @ 12.58% 0-0 @ 9.42% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 4.2% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.68% Total : 26.88% | 0-1 @ 8.84% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.9% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.14% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.3% ( -0)Other @ 1.46% Total : 24.79% |
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