SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Aldosivi | 12 | 4 | 20 |
| 8 | Newell's Old Boys | 12 | 3 | 20 |
| 9 | Tigre | 12 | 7 | 19 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 25 | Platense | 13 | -10 | 10 |
| 26 | Patronato | 12 | -13 | 10 |
| 27 | Talleres | 13 | -13 | 8 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newell's Old Boys win with a probability of 55.43%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Patronato had a probability of 18.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newell's Old Boys win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.68%) and 2-1 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.79%), while for a Patronato win it was 0-1 (7.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Newell's Old Boys | Draw | Patronato |
55.43% ( -0.1) | 25.7% ( 0.04) | 18.87% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 42.44% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.83% ( -0.07) | 59.17% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.4% ( -0.05) | 79.6% ( 0.05) |
| Newell's Old Boys Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.55% ( -0.07) | 21.45% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.52% ( -0.11) | 54.48% ( 0.11) |
| Patronato Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.03% ( 0.03) | 45.98% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.3% ( 0.03) | 81.7% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newell's Old Boys | Draw | Patronato |
| 1-0 @ 15.18% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 11.68% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 9.08% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 6% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.66% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.31% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.81% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.79% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.92% Total : 55.43% | 1-1 @ 11.79% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.86% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 3.53% ( 0)Other @ 0.51% Total : 25.69% | 0-1 @ 7.67% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 4.58% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.98% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.19% ( 0)2-3 @ 0.91% ( 0)Other @ 1.54% Total : 18.87% |
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