SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 25 | Platense | 13 | -10 | 10 |
| 26 | Patronato | 12 | -13 | 10 |
| 27 | Talleres | 13 | -13 | 8 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Newell's Old Boys | 12 | 3 | 20 |
| 9 | Tigre | 12 | 7 | 19 |
| 10 | Argentinos Juniors | 12 | 3 | 19 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Patronato win with a probability of 36.19%. A win for Tigre had a probability of 35.75% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Patronato win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.75%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Tigre win was 0-1 (11.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Patronato in this match.
| Result | ||
| Patronato | Draw | Tigre |
36.19% ( -8.07) | 28.07% ( 0.86) | 35.75% ( 7.22) |
| Both teams to score 47.6% ( -0.42) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.51% ( -1.51) | 58.49% ( 1.51) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.93% ( -1.19) | 79.08% ( 1.19) |
| Patronato Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.14% ( -5.26) | 30.87% ( 5.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.85% ( -6.67) | 67.15% ( 6.67) |
| Tigre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.86% ( 4.31) | 31.15% ( -4.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.53% ( 4.74) | 67.48% ( -4.74) |
| Score Analysis |
| Patronato | Draw | Tigre |
| 1-0 @ 11.3% ( -1.06) 2-1 @ 7.75% ( -0.99)2-0 @ 6.64% ( -1.78)3-1 @ 3.04% ( -0.93)3-0 @ 2.6% ( -1.22)3-2 @ 1.77% ( -0.29)Other @ 3.09% Total : 36.19% | 1-1 @ 13.18% ( 0.36) 0-0 @ 9.61% ( 0.54)2-2 @ 4.52% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.75% Total : 28.06% | 0-1 @ 11.21% ( 1.8) 1-2 @ 7.69% ( 1.04)0-2 @ 6.54% ( 1.66)1-3 @ 2.99% ( 0.69)0-3 @ 2.54% ( 0.86)2-3 @ 1.76% ( 0.19)Other @ 3.02% Total : 35.75% |
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