Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 5

Jun 27, 2022 at 7.30pm UK

Estadio Presbítero Bartolomé Grella

Patronato
3 - 1
Independiente

Rodriguez (1', 57'), Acevedo (26')
Medina (12'), Rodriguez (49'), Guasone (53'), Lozano (86')
Valdez (16')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Romero (45+5')
Vigo (43'), Benegas (62'), Manuel Insaurralde (70'), Marquez (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Patronato and Independiente, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Patronato 1-2 Independiente

Although Independiente have failed to win their opening two away league games, they have prevailed in their last two meetings with Patronato, and we think they will take confidence from those results to claim a narrow victory on Monday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 39.93%. A win for Patronato had a probability of 31.85% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.14%) and 0-2 (7.6%). The likeliest Patronato win was 1-0 (10.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.

Result
Patronato	Draw	Independiente
31.85% ( -0.33)	28.21% ( 0.53)	39.93% ( -0.21)

Both teams to score 46.6% (

-1.62)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.54% (

-2)

59.46% (

1.99)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.17% (

-1.56)

79.82% (

1.55)

Patronato Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.72% (

-1.28)

34.27% (

1.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.02% (

-1.39)

70.97% (

1.39)

Independiente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.9% (

-1.08)

29.09% (

1.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.98% (

-1.35)

65.01% (

1.35)

Score Analysis

Patronato 31.85%

Independiente 39.93%

Draw 28.2%

Patronato	Draw	Independiente
1-0 @ 10.67% ( 0.42) 2-1 @ 7.06% ( -0.17) 2-0 @ 5.72% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 2.52% ( -0.15) 3-0 @ 2.04% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 1.56% ( -0.15) Other @ 2.29% Total : 31.85%	1-1 @ 13.18% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 9.97% ( 0.73) 2-2 @ 4.36% ( -0.24) Other @ 0.7% Total : 28.2%	0-1 @ 12.31% ( 0.55) 1-2 @ 8.14% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 7.6% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 3.35% ( -0.17) 0-3 @ 3.13% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.16) 1-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.09) 0-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.62% Total : 39.93%