Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos win with a probability of 49.07%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for America Mineiro had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santos win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.89%) and 2-1 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.56%), while for an America Mineiro win it was 0-1 (8.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Santos would win this match.
