SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 78.13%. A draw had a probability of 12.7% and a win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 9.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 3-1 with a probability of 8.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (8.01%) and 2-1 (7.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.17%), while for a Borussia Monchengladbach win it was 1-2 (2.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bayern Munich | Draw | Borussia Monchengladbach |
78.13% ( -0.04) | 12.68% ( 0.02) | 9.18% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 61.27% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 77.84% ( -0.04) | 22.15% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 58.89% ( -0.06) | 41.11% ( 0.06) |
| Bayern Munich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.44% ( -0.02) | 4.56% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 81.37% ( -0.05) | 18.62% ( 0.04) |
| Borussia Monchengladbach Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.19% ( -0) | 35.8% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.42% ( -0) | 72.57% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bayern Munich | Draw | Borussia Monchengladbach |
| 3-1 @ 8.23% 3-0 @ 8.01% 2-1 @ 7.99% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.78% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 6.36% ( -0)4-0 @ 6.19% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 5.04% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 4.23% 5-1 @ 3.93% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 3.82% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 3.26% ( -0)6-1 @ 2.02% ( -0.01)5-2 @ 2.02% ( -0)6-0 @ 1.97% ( -0.01)4-3 @ 1.12% ( -0)6-2 @ 1.04% ( -0)Other @ 5.15% Total : 78.13% | 1-1 @ 5.17% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.1% ( 0)0-0 @ 1.63% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.45% Other @ 0.33% Total : 12.68% | 1-2 @ 2.66% ( 0) 0-1 @ 1.68% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.41% ( 0)1-3 @ 0.91% ( 0)Other @ 2.53% Total : 9.18% |
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