Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 57.55%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 21.55% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.08%) and 1-0 (7.76%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 1-2 (5.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.36%). The actual scoreline of 7-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.
Result | ||
Manchester City | Draw | RB Leipzig |
57.55% (![]() | 20.9% (![]() | 21.55% (![]() |
Both teams to score 61.36% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.87% (![]() | 36.13% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.76% (![]() | 58.23% (![]() |
Manchester City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.56% (![]() | 12.44% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.63% (![]() | 38.37% (![]() |
RB Leipzig Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.08% (![]() | 29.92% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.98% (![]() | 66.02% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Manchester City | Draw | RB Leipzig |
2-1 @ 9.76% (![]() 2-0 @ 8.08% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 7.76% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.78% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 5.62% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 4.09% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.53% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.93% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.13% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.47% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.22% ( ![]() Other @ 4.19% Total : 57.55% | 1-1 @ 9.36% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.89% 0-0 @ 3.72% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.65% ( ![]() Other @ 0.29% Total : 20.9% | 1-2 @ 5.65% (![]() 0-1 @ 4.49% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.71% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.37% 1-3 @ 2.27% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.09% ( ![]() Other @ 2.97% Total : 21.55% |
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