Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 41.23%. A win for Preston North End had a probability of 30.97% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.36%) and 0-2 (7.81%). The likeliest Preston North End win was 1-0 (10.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Preston North End | Draw | Luton Town |
30.97% ( -0.27) | 27.8% ( 0.05) | 41.23% ( 0.22) |
Both teams to score 47.48% ( -0.24) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.77% ( -0.26) | 58.23% ( 0.26) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.13% ( -0.2) | 78.87% ( 0.2) |
Preston North End Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.73% ( -0.33) | 34.27% ( 0.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.03% ( -0.36) | 70.97% ( 0.36) |
Luton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.23% ( 0) | 27.77% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.65% ( 0) | 63.36% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Preston North End | Draw | Luton Town |
1-0 @ 10.19% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.99% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 5.46% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 2.5% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 1.95% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.28% Total : 30.97% | 1-1 @ 13.05% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.52% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 4.48% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.75% Total : 27.79% | 0-1 @ 12.19% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 8.36% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 7.81% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 3.57% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.34% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.14% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.07% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.83% Total : 41.23% |
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