SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 43.05%. A win for Inter Milan had a probability of 31.71% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Inter Milan win was 0-1 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| AC Milan | Draw | Inter Milan |
43.05% ( -0.17) | 25.24% ( 0.05) | 31.71% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 55.71% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.2% ( -0.16) | 47.79% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.02% ( -0.15) | 69.98% ( 0.15) |
| AC Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.84% ( -0.15) | 22.16% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.45% ( -0.23) | 55.55% ( 0.23) |
| Inter Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.57% ( 0) | 28.43% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.81% ( 0) | 64.19% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| AC Milan | Draw | Inter Milan |
| 1-0 @ 9.49% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 7.15% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.52% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 3.59% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.84% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.7% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.35% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.07% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.32% Total : 43.05% | 1-1 @ 11.94% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.3% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 5.66% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.24% | 0-1 @ 7.92% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 7.51% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 4.98% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 3.15% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.09% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 0.99% ( 0)Other @ 2.7% Total : 31.71% |
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