MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 01:49:50
SM
Southampton vs. Liverpool: 18 hrs 10 mins
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CL
EFL Cup | Final
Feb 27, 2022 at 4.30pm UK
Wembley Stadium
LL

Chelsea
0 - 0
Liverpool

Liverpool win 11-10 on penalties

Kovacic (90'), Kante (99'), Havertz (105+2')
FT

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 44.02%. A win for Liverpool had a probability of 31.27% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Liverpool win was 1-2 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
ChelseaDrawLiverpool
44.02%24.71%31.27%
Both teams to score 57.32%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.39%45.61%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.07%67.93%
Chelsea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.21%20.79%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.55%53.45%
Liverpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.37%27.64%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.82%63.18%
Score Analysis
    Chelsea 44.02%
    Liverpool 31.27%
    Draw 24.7%
ChelseaDrawLiverpool
2-1 @ 9.12%
1-0 @ 9.03%
2-0 @ 7.09%
3-1 @ 4.77%
3-0 @ 3.71%
3-2 @ 3.07%
4-1 @ 1.87%
4-0 @ 1.46%
4-2 @ 1.21%
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 44.02%
1-1 @ 11.6%
2-2 @ 5.86%
0-0 @ 5.75%
3-3 @ 1.32%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.7%
1-2 @ 7.46%
0-1 @ 7.39%
0-2 @ 4.75%
1-3 @ 3.2%
2-3 @ 2.51%
0-3 @ 2.04%
1-4 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 31.27%

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