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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 62.82%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 17.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.74%) and 0-1 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.31%), while for a PEC Zwolle win it was 2-1 (4.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| PEC Zwolle | Draw | FC Utrecht |
17.13% ( -0.11) | 20.05% ( -0.04) | 62.82% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 56.27% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.9% ( 0.02) | 39.1% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.58% ( 0.02) | 61.42% ( -0.02) |
| PEC Zwolle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.86% ( -0.11) | 36.13% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.08% ( -0.11) | 72.92% ( 0.11) |
| FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.11% ( 0.04) | 11.89% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.79% ( 0.1) | 37.2% ( -0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| PEC Zwolle | Draw | FC Utrecht |
| 2-1 @ 4.74% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 4.37% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 2.23% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.71% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 1.61% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.47% Total : 17.13% | 1-1 @ 9.31% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.05% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 4.3% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.18% Total : 20.05% | 1-2 @ 9.92% ( -0) 0-2 @ 9.74% ( 0.03)0-1 @ 9.15% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 7.04% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 6.92% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 3.75% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 3.68% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.58% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.91% 1-5 @ 1.6% ( 0.01)0-5 @ 1.57% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.97% Total : 62.82% |
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