SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 65.32%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 16.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.41%) and 3-1 (7.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.95%), while for a FC Utrecht win it was 1-2 (4.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | FC Utrecht |
65.32% ( 0.3) | 18.22% ( -0.1) | 16.45% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 61.67% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.52% ( 0.09) | 31.47% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.05% ( 0.1) | 52.95% ( -0.1) |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.91% ( 0.09) | 9.08% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.13% ( 0.22) | 30.86% ( -0.22) |
| FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.83% ( -0.17) | 32.17% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.34% ( -0.19) | 68.65% ( 0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | FC Utrecht |
| 2-1 @ 9.53% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.41% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 7.62% ( 0.02)1-0 @ 7.01% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.72% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 4.57% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 4.32% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 4.03% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 2.59% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 2.19% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 1.93% ( 0.03)5-2 @ 1.24% ( 0.01)4-3 @ 0.98% ( -0)Other @ 4.16% Total : 65.32% | 1-1 @ 7.95% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.41% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 2.92% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.31% Total : 18.22% | 1-2 @ 4.51% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 3.31% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 1.88% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.03)Other @ 3% Total : 16.45% |
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