SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Benfica | 33 | 47 | 71 |
| 4 | Braga | 32 | 20 | 62 |
| 5 | Gil Vicente | 33 | 10 | 51 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Marseille | 38 | 25 | 71 |
| 3 | Monaco | 38 | 25 | 69 |
| 4 | Nice | 38 | 16 | 67 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 39.55%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 34.83% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Monaco win was 0-1 (8.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Braga | Draw | Monaco |
| 39.55% | 25.61% | 34.83% |
| Both teams to score 55.38% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.37% | 48.62% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.25% | 70.74% |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.74% | 24.25% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.38% | 58.61% |
| Monaco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.11% | 26.88% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.8% | 62.2% |
| Score Analysis |
| Braga | Draw | Monaco |
| 1-0 @ 9.24% 2-1 @ 8.59% 2-0 @ 6.54% 3-1 @ 4.06% 3-0 @ 3.09% 3-2 @ 2.67% 4-1 @ 1.44% 4-0 @ 1.09% 4-2 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.89% Total : 39.55% | 1-1 @ 12.13% 0-0 @ 6.52% 2-2 @ 5.65% 3-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.61% | 0-1 @ 8.57% 1-2 @ 7.97% 0-2 @ 5.63% 1-3 @ 3.49% 2-3 @ 2.47% 0-3 @ 2.46% 1-4 @ 1.15% Other @ 3.1% Total : 34.83% |
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