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La Liga | Gameweek 20
Jan 19, 2025 at 1pm UK
Estadio de Balaidos
AB

Celta Vigo
1 - 2
Athletic Bilbao

Alvarez (74')
Moriba (60')
Mingueza (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Berenguer (62'), Vivian (71')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Real Madrid 5-2 Celta Vigo
Thursday, January 16 at 8.30pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 2-3 Osasuna
Thursday, January 16 at 6.30pm in Copa del Rey

We said: Celta Vigo 1-1 Athletic Bilbao

Athletic will enter this match off the back of two disappointing results in the cup, but their league form is excellent, and we are struggling to back them to lose here; Celta, though, have been strong at home this term, and we have had to settle on a low-scoring draw here despite being close to backing an away success. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 42.88%. A draw had a probability of 28.8% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.61%) and 1-2 (8.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.18%), while for a Celta Vigo win it was 1-0 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.

Result
Celta VigoDrawAthletic Bilbao
28.3% (0.123 0.12) 28.82% (0.053999999999998 0.05) 42.88% (-0.183 -0.18)
Both teams to score 43.54% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.42% (-0.131 -0.13)62.58% (0.123 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.84% (-0.096 -0.1)82.16% (0.088000000000008 0.09)
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.29% (0.027999999999999 0.03)38.71% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.55% (0.027999999999999 0.03)75.44% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.04% (-0.164 -0.16)28.95% (0.156 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.15% (-0.202 -0.2)64.84% (0.196 0.2)
Score Analysis
    Celta Vigo 28.29%
    Athletic Bilbao 42.88%
    Draw 28.8%
Celta VigoDrawAthletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 10.63% (0.06 0.06)
2-1 @ 6.26% (0.012 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.05% (0.032 0.03)
3-1 @ 1.98% (0.006 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.6% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.23% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.55%
Total : 28.29%
1-1 @ 13.18% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 11.2% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-2 @ 3.88% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 28.8%
0-1 @ 13.89% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 8.61% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
1-2 @ 8.17% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
0-3 @ 3.56% (-0.031 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.38% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.6% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.1% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.05% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 42.88%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Real Madrid 5-2 Celta Vigo
Thursday, January 16 at 8.30pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 2-1 Celta Vigo
Friday, January 10 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Racing 2-3 Celta Vigo
Sunday, January 5 at 2.30pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Celta Vigo 2-0 Real Sociedad
Saturday, December 21 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Sevilla 1-0 Celta Vigo
Saturday, December 14 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Celta Vigo 2-0 Mallorca
Friday, December 6 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 2-3 Osasuna
Thursday, January 16 at 6.30pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 0-2 Barcelona
Wednesday, January 8 at 7pm in Supercopa de Espana
Last Game: UD Logrones 0-0 Athletic Bilbao (3-4 pen.)
Saturday, January 4 at 8.30pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Osasuna 1-2 Athletic Bilbao
Saturday, December 21 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Alaves 1-1 Athletic Bilbao
Sunday, December 15 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Fenerbahce 0-2 Athletic Bilbao
Wednesday, December 11 at 3.30pm in Europa League


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