Athletic will enter this match off the back of two disappointing results in the cup, but their league form is excellent, and we are struggling to back them to lose here; Celta, though, have been strong at home this term, and we have had to settle on a low-scoring draw here despite being close to backing an away success.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 42.88%. A draw had a probability of 28.8% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.61%) and 1-2 (8.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.18%), while for a Celta Vigo win it was 1-0 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.