Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 54.25%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Finn Harps had a probability of 20.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.95%) and 1-2 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.88%), while for a Finn Harps win it was 1-0 (7.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derry City would win this match.
