Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 55.49%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for University College Dublin had a probability of 20.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.57%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.47%), while for a University College Dublin win it was 0-1 (6.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Patrick's Athletic would win this match.
