Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 43.13%. A win for Finn Harps had a probability of 29.25% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (8.27%). The likeliest Finn Harps win was 1-0 (9.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Patrick's Athletic would win this match.
