Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 43.03%. A win for Sydney FC had a probability of 35.06% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.29%) and 1-0 (5.27%). The likeliest Sydney FC win was 1-2 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.91%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Adelaide United would win this match.

Result
Adelaide United	Draw	Sydney FC
43.03% ( 0.28)	21.91% ( 0.02)	35.06% ( -0.31)

Both teams to score 69.2% (

-0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

69.32% (

-0.22)

30.67% (

0.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

48% (

-0.26)

52% (

0.26)

Adelaide United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.84% (

0.01)

15.15% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.25% (

0.03)

43.74% (

-0.03)

Sydney FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.55% (

-0.24)

18.44% (

0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.38% (

-0.41)

49.62% (

0.4)

Score Analysis

Adelaide United 43.03%

Sydney FC 35.06%

Draw 21.91%

Adelaide United	Draw	Sydney FC
2-1 @ 8.41% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 5.29% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 5.27% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 4.98% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 4.47% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.13% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.5% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 2.11% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.48% ( 0.02) 4-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.26% Total : 43.03%	1-1 @ 8.91% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 7.11% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 2.79% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.57% Total : 21.91%	1-2 @ 7.54% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 4.72% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 4.25% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 4.01% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 3.99% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.79% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.69% ( -0.03) 3-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.8% Total : 35.06%