Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a ADO Den Haag win with a probability of 37.91%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 37.53% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an ADO Den Haag win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.77%) and 2-0 (5.74%). The likeliest Almere City win was 1-2 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.

Result
ADO Den Haag	Draw	Almere City
37.91% ( 0.03)	24.56% ( 0.02)	37.53% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 59.4% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.45% (

-0.1)

43.55% (

0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.05% (

-0.1)

65.94% (

0.1)

ADO Den Haag Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.17% (

-0.03)

22.83% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.44% (

-0.04)

56.56% (

0.04)

Almere City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.97% (

-0.08)

23.03% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.16% (

-0.11)

56.84% (

0.1)

Score Analysis

ADO Den Haag 37.91%

Almere City 37.53%

Draw 24.55%

ADO Den Haag	Draw	Almere City
2-1 @ 8.42% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.77% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 5.74% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.15% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.04% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.82% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.53% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.12% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.04% ( 0) Other @ 2.28% Total : 37.91%	1-1 @ 11.4% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.18% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.26% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.55%	1-2 @ 8.37% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.72% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 5.67% 1-3 @ 4.1% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.03% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.78% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.51% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.02% ( -0) Other @ 2.24% Total : 37.53%