Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 39.3%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 33.9% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 (9.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
-0.05) 
0.07) 
