Russian Premier League | Gameweek 28
May 20, 2023 at 5pm UK
Akhmat Arena
Karapuzov (28'), Timofeev (49'), Kharin (63')
Timofeev (11'),
Kamilov (54'), Karapuzov (61'),
Todorovic (69'), Yakuev (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Malentijevic (5'), Dolgov (45'),
Gbane (90+2')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Akhmat Grozny and Khimki.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Akhmat Grozny win with a probability of 71.49%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Khimki had a probability of 10.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Akhmat Grozny win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.67%) and 3-0 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.47%), while for a Khimki win it was 0-1 (3.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Akhmat Grozny would win this match.
| Result |
| Akhmat Grozny | Draw | Khimki |
71.49% ( 0.08) | 17.81% ( -0.04) | 10.7% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 45.96% ( -0) |
| 56.43% ( 0.07) | 43.56% ( -0.08) |
| 34.04% ( 0.07) | 65.95% ( -0.08) |
| 89.13% ( 0.04) | 10.86% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 65.03% ( 0.09) | 34.97% ( -0.09) |
| 51.56% ( -0.03) | 48.44% ( 0.02) |
