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Russian Premier League | Gameweek 1
Jul 22, 2023 at 6pm UK
Akhmat Arena

Akhmat Grozny
1 - 2
Krylia Sovetov

Agalarov (90+5' pen.)
Kamilov (54'), Celikovic (67')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Garre (13'), Babkin (85')
Ezhov (58'), Costanza (71')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Akhmat Grozny and Krylia Sovetov.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Akhmat Grozny 2-2 Krasnodar
Saturday, June 3 at 3pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Krylia Sovetov 1-0 Spartak Moscow
Saturday, June 3 at 3pm in Russian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Akhmat Grozny win with a probability of 40.72%. A win for Krylia Sovetov had a probability of 32.18% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Akhmat Grozny win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Krylia Sovetov win was 0-1 (9.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
Akhmat GroznyDrawKrylia Sovetov
40.72% (-0.895 -0.89) 27.1% (0.241 0.24) 32.18% (0.655 0.66)
Both teams to score 49.95% (-0.51000000000001 -0.51)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.71% (-0.753 -0.75)55.29% (0.754 0.75)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.49% (-0.621 -0.62)76.51% (0.622 0.62)
Akhmat Grozny Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.33% (-0.82300000000001 -0.82)26.67% (0.824 0.82)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.08% (-1.104 -1.1)61.92% (1.104 1.1)
Krylia Sovetov Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.12% (0.069999999999993 0.07)31.88% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.67% (0.081 0.08)68.33% (-0.079000000000008 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Akhmat Grozny 40.71%
    Krylia Sovetov 32.18%
    Draw 27.09%
Akhmat GroznyDrawKrylia Sovetov
1-0 @ 11.23% (0.06 0.06)
2-1 @ 8.49% (-0.136 -0.14)
2-0 @ 7.43% (-0.133 -0.13)
3-1 @ 3.74% (-0.15 -0.15)
3-0 @ 3.27% (-0.138 -0.14)
3-2 @ 2.14% (-0.082 -0.08)
4-1 @ 1.24% (-0.08 -0.08)
4-0 @ 1.08% (-0.072 -0.07)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 40.71%
1-1 @ 12.84% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 8.5% (0.245 0.24)
2-2 @ 4.85% (-0.068 -0.07)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 27.09%
0-1 @ 9.72% (0.298 0.3)
1-2 @ 7.34% (0.07 0.07)
0-2 @ 5.56% (0.181 0.18)
1-3 @ 2.8% (0.032 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.12% (0.072 0.07)
2-3 @ 1.85% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 32.18%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Akhmat Grozny 2-2 Krasnodar
Saturday, June 3 at 3pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Rostov 3-2 Akhmat Grozny
Sunday, May 28 at 5pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Akhmat Grozny 3-0 Khimki
Saturday, May 20 at 5pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Dynamo Moscow 0-3 Akhmat Grozny
Sunday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Torpedo Moskva 1-5 Akhmat Grozny
Saturday, May 6 at 2.30pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Akhmat Grozny 1-3 CSKA
Saturday, April 29 at 2.30pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Krylia Sovetov 1-0 Spartak Moscow
Saturday, June 3 at 3pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Fakel 2-1 Krylia Sovetov
Sunday, May 28 at 2.30pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Krylia Sovetov 3-0 Ural
Sunday, May 21 at 12pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Krylia Sovetov 1-1 Lokomotiv
Sunday, May 14 at 12pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Krasnodar 2-1 Krylia Sovetov
Sunday, May 7 at 5pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Krylia Sovetov 1-5 Zenit
Saturday, April 29 at 12pm in Russian Premier League


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