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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 58.2%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 20.97% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.29%) and 1-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 (5.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Arsenal | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
58.2% ( -0.07) | 20.83% ( 0.01) | 20.97% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 60.71% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.42% ( 0.04) | 36.58% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.27% ( 0.04) | 58.73% ( -0.04) |
| Arsenal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.6% ( -0.01) | 12.4% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.72% ( -0.01) | 38.28% ( 0.01) |
| Brighton & Hove Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.3% ( 0.08) | 30.7% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.04% ( 0.09) | 66.95% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arsenal | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
| 2-1 @ 9.8% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.29% ( -0.02)1-0 @ 7.95% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 6.82% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.77% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 4.03% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.56% ( -0)4-0 @ 3.01% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 2.1% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.49% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.26% ( -0)Other @ 4.14% Total : 58.2% | 1-1 @ 9.38% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.78% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 3.81% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.27% Total : 20.83% | 1-2 @ 5.54% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.5% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.65% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.18% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.05% ( 0)Other @ 2.78% Total : 20.97% |
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