SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 48.66%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 30.38% and a draw had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.02%) and 0-2 (5.24%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 2-1 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Aston Villa | Draw | Liverpool |
30.38% ( -0.17) | 20.96% ( -0.05) | 48.66% ( 0.22) |
| Both teams to score 70.73% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 72.13% ( 0.17) | 27.87% ( -0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 51.42% ( 0.21) | 48.58% ( -0.22) |
| Aston Villa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.58% ( -0) | 19.42% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.75% ( -0) | 51.25% ( 0) |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.77% ( 0.13) | 12.23% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.08% ( 0.27) | 37.92% ( -0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aston Villa | Draw | Liverpool |
| 2-1 @ 6.7% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 3.89% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.85% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.66% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 3.19% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 1.74% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.58% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.5% ( -0.01)4-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.17% Total : 30.38% | 1-1 @ 8.18% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 7.04% ( -0)3-3 @ 2.7% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 2.38% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.67% Total : 20.96% | 1-2 @ 8.59% ( -0) 1-3 @ 6.02% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 5.24% ( -0)0-1 @ 4.99% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 4.93% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 3.67% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 3.16% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 2.59% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.93% ( 0.02)3-4 @ 1.42% ( 0.01)1-5 @ 1.33% ( 0.02)2-5 @ 1.09% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.69% Total : 48.66% |
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