Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 63.24%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Internacional had a probability of 15.18%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.1%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.23%), while for a Internacional win it was 0-1 (5.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.
1.24) 
-0.84) 
